DVD STORE   |   CONTEST GIVEAWAYS   |   MOVIE POSTERS   |   LINKS

 

 


FEATURE ARTICLE

85th Annual Academy Awards - The Predictions

 

Rating:

Distributor: A.M.P.A.S.

Released: February 24, 2013

 

Written by Sara Michelle Fetters

 

Editor-in-Chief
www.moviefreak.com

 

85th Annual Academy Awards Predictions

Argo Best Picture Frontrunner, Lincoln, Life of Pi and Silver Linings in Contention

 

It’s been a strange road to the 85th annual Academy Awards, this

Sunday’s telecast and presentation one of the more unusual the Academy of Motion Pictures Arts and Sciences has ever encountered. By attempting to move up the nomination deadline to presage influence by various critics organization, artists guilds and other awards shows (namely the Golden Globes and the BAFTAs), the Academy inadvertently through things into all kinds of disarray, creating an atmosphere of odd uncertainty this year that has many perplexed.

 


Seth McFarlane hosts the 85th Annual Oscars
PHOTO: ABC/Bob D'Amico / ©A.M.P.A.S.

 

You’d think this uncertainty would be a good thing, but in the case of the 85th Oscars you’d be hard-pressed to find many who think so. The reason can be summed up in one word (or title): Argo. While the movie received a healthy seven nominations including a nod for Best Picture, Ben Affleck was left out of the Best Director race leading many to assume it’s chances for the top award were suddenly D.O.A. But then came a weird sympathetic backlash decrying this perceived ‘snubbing,’ Affleck and Argo going on to win a seemingly never-ending series of awards from critics and artist guilds alike including taking home the BAFTA for Best Picture, the WGA for adapted screenplay and the SAG for best ensemble.

 

Why is this such a controversy? In this history of the Academy Awards, while other movies have won Best Picture without a Best Director nomination (Driving Miss Daisy being the last to do so), thanks to the fact there are nine nominees in the top category coupled with the fact nomination voting was scheduled so early many in the industry look at the historical stats and are perplexed by what is going on. Argo winning would break the mold in numerous ways and some, not everyone, of course, don’t believe this is a good thing, the prestige of an Oscar sullied and dulled by the way this whole process has worked itself out.

 

Is that true? Will Argo winning damage the Oscar beyond repair? Personally, I don’t see a gigantic problem. The Academy pushed themselves into a corner thanks to a frantic push to beat all other movie awards to the punch, forcing their members to vote at a frenzied pace without ample time to see all the contenders using a new system (online voting was instituted for the first time) that a number of Academy members didn’t know how to use. Studios didn’t have time to set up screenings or get screeners to everyone allowing entertainments like Lincoln, Life of Pi and Silver Linings Playbook, considered rightly or wrongly more audience-friendly and ‘safe’ than the majority of their competitors, to take home the majority of nominations and be instantly proclaimed frontrunners.

 

We haven’t gotten into the politicking and mudslinging the presaged much of the voting process, unfairly sullying the reputations of movies like Zero Dark Thirty, Django Unchained, Les Misérables and The Master in ways none of the films were entirely able to overcome (all still received a number of nominations yet none are expected to do all that well come Sunday night). But that’s a discussion for another day as the real question remains what does Argo winning mean to the future perception of the Academy Award? On that front I don’t have an answer at this point, but as a longtime cinephile and professional critic I’d be lying if I wasn’t extraordinarily curious to find out.

 

The following are my predictions for which films will win Oscars this Sunday night. With the unpredictability factor of this year’s ceremony so incredibly high I suggest you copy my guesses – because, for once, that’s exactly what they are, guesses – at your own peril.

 

BEST PICTURE

THE NOMINEES: Amour, Argo, Beasts of the Southern Wild, Django Unchained, Les Misérables, Life of Pi, Lincoln, Silver Linings Playbook, Zero Dark Thirty

WILL WIN: Argo

SHOULD WIN: Zero Dark Thirty, Amour or Silver Linings Playbook

 

BEST DIRECTOR

THE NOMINEES: Michael Haneke (Amour), Ang Lee (Life of Pi), David O. Russell (Silver Linings Playbook), Steven Spielberg (Lincoln), Benh Zeitlin (Beasts of the Southern Wild)

WILL WIN: Michael Haneke

SHOULD WIN: Michael Haneke or David O. Russell

 

BEST ACTOR

THE NOMINEES: Bradley Cooper (Silver Linings Playbook), Daniel Day-Lewis (Lincoln), Hugh Jackman (Les Misérables), Joaquin Phoenix (The Master), Denzel Washington (Flight)

WILL WIN: Daniel Day-Lewis

SHOULD WIN: Denzel Washington

 

BEST ACTRESS

THE NOMINEES: Jessica Chastain (Zero Dark Thirty), Jennifer Lawrence (Silver Linings Playbook), Emmanuelle Riva (Amour), Quvenzhané Wallis (Beasts of the Southern Wild), Naomi Watts (The Impossible)

WILL WIN: Jennifer Lawrence

SHOULD WIN: Emmanuelle Riva

 

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

THE NOMINEES: Alan Arkin (Argo), Robert De Niro (Silver Linings Playbook), Philip Seymour Hoffman (The Master), Tommy Lee Jones (Lincoln), Christoph Waltz (Django Unchained)

WILL WIN: Christoph Waltz

SHOULD WIN: Philip Seymour Hoffman

 

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

THE NOMINEES: Amy Adams (The Master), Sally Field (Lincoln), Anne Hathaway (Les Misérables), Helen Hunt (The Sessions), Jacki Weaver (Silver Linings Playbook)

WILL WIN: Anne Hathaway

SHOULD WIN: Amy Adams

 

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

THE NOMINEES: Argo, Beasts of the Southern Wild, Life of Pi, Lincoln, Silver Linings Playbook

WILL WIN: Argo
SHOULS WIN: Lincoln

 

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

THE NOMINEES: Amour, Django Unchained, Flight, Moonrise Kingdom, Zero Dark Thirty

WILL WIN: Amour

SHOULD WIN: Moonrise Kingdom

 

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

THE NOMINEES: Brave, Frankenweenie, ParaNorman, The Pirates! Band of Misfits, Wreck-It Ralph

WILL WIN: Wreck-It Ralph

SHOULD WIN: Wreck-It Ralph

 

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

THE NOMINEES: 5 Broken Cameras, The Gatekeepers, How to Survive a Plague, The Invisible War, Searching for Sugar Man

WILL WIN: Searching for Sugar Man

SHOULD WIN: How to Survive a Plague

 

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

THE NOMINEES: Amour, Kon-Tiki, No, A Royal Affair, War Witch

WILL WIN: Amour

SHOULD WIN: Amour

 

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

THE NOMINEES: Anna Karenina, Django Unchained, Life of Pi, Lincoln, Skyfall

WILL WIN: Skyfall

SHOULD WIN: Anna Karenina

 

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

THE NOMINEES: Anna Karenina, Les Misérables, Lincoln, Mirror Mirror, Snow White and the Huntsman

WILL WIN: Anna Karenina

SHOULD WIN: Anna Karenina

 

BEST EDITING

THE NOMINEES: Argo, Life of Pi, Lincoln, Silver Linings Playbook, Zero Dark Thirty

WILL WIN: Argo

SHOLD WIN: Zero Dark Thirty

 

BEST MAKEUP

THE NOMINEES: Hitchcock, The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey, Les Misérables

WILL WIN: Les Misérables

SHOULD WIN: Les Miséerables

 

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

THE NOMINEES: Anna Karenina, Argo, Life of Pi, Lincoln, Skyfall

WILL WIN: Mychael Danna (Life of Pi)

SHOULD WIN: Dario Marianelli (Anna Karenina)

 

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

THE NOMINEES: “Before My Time” from Chasing Ice, “Everybody Needs a Friend” from Ted, “Pi’s Lullaby” from Life of Pi, “Skyfall” from Skyfall, “Suddenly” from Les Misérables

WILL WIN: “Skyfall” from Skyfall

SHOULD WIN: “Skyfall” form Skyfall

 

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

THE NOMINEES: Anna Karenina, The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey, Les Misérables, Life of Pi, Lincoln

WILL WIN: Life of Pi

SHOULS WIN: Anna Karenina

 

BEST SOUND EDITING

THE NOMINEES: Argo, Django Unchained, Life of Pi, Skyfall, Zero Dark Thirty

WILL WIN: Zero Dark Thirty

SHOULD WIN: Zero Dark Thirty

 

BEST SOUND MIXING

THE NOMINEES: Argo, Les Misérables, Life of Pi, Lincoln, Skyfall

WILL WIN: Skyfall

SHOULD WIN: Life of Pi

 

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

THE NOMINESS: The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey, Life of Pi, Marvel’s The Avengers, Prometheus, Snow White and the Huntsman

WILL WIN: Life of Pi

SHOULD WIN: Prometheus

 

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

THE NOMINEES: Inocente, King’s Point, Mondays at Racine, Open Heart, Redemption

WILL WIN: Inocente

SHOULD WIN: Redemption

 

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

THE NOMINEES: Azad, Buzkashi Boys, Curfew, Death of a Shadow (Dood van een Schaduw), Henry

WILL WIN: Curfew

SHOULD WIN: Curfew

 

BEST ANIMATED SHORT

THE NOMINEES: Adam and Dog, Fresh Guacamole, Head Over Heels, Maggie Simpson in “The Longest Daycare”, Paperman

WILL WIN: Paperman

SHOULD WIN: Paperman

 

- Portions of this article reprinted courtesy of the SGN in Seattle

 

Digg!

 Subscribe to Movie Interviews Feed

 

Article posted on Feb 22, 2013 | Share this article | Top of Page

 

Copyright © 1999-infinity MovieFreak.com  


 

Back to Top

 

SUPPORT OUR SITE